Copenhagen

The London Times reports that the head of the IPCC knew that claims in the IPCC report about Himalayan glaciers melting were false before the December 2009 Copenhagen Global Warming Summit:

The chairman of the leading climate change watchdog was informed that claims about melting Himalayan glaciers were false before the Copenhagen summit, The Times has learnt.

Rajendra Pachauri was told that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment that the glaciers would disappear by 2035 was wrong, but he waited two months to correct it. He failed to act despite learning that the claim had been refuted by several leading glaciologists.

The IPCC’s report underpinned the proposals at Copenhagen for drastic cuts in global emissions.

Dr Pachauri, who played a leading role at the summit, corrected the error last week after coming under media pressure. He told The Times on January 22 that he had only known about the error for a few days. He said: “I became aware of this when it was reported in the media about ten days ago. Before that, it was really not made known. Nobody brought it to my attention. There were statements, but we never looked at this 2035 number.”

Asked whether he had deliberately kept silent about the error to avoid embarrassment at Copenhagen, he said: “That’s ridiculous. It never came to my attention before the Copenhagen summit. It wasn’t in the public sphere.”

However, a prominent science journalist said that he had asked Dr Pachauri about the 2035 error last November. Pallava Bagla, who writes for Science journal, said he had asked Dr Pachauri about the error. He said that Dr Pachauri had replied: “I don’t have anything to add on glaciers.”

The Himalayan glaciers are so thick and at such high altitude that most glaciologists believe they would take several hundred years to melt at the present rate. Some are growing and many show little sign of change.

Dr Pachauri had previously dismissed a report by the Indian Government which said that glaciers might not be melting as much as had been feared. He described the report, which did not mention the 2035 error, as “voodoo science”.

Meanwhile, the British government has ruled that climate scientists have broken the law by not complying with Freedom of Information Act laws:

Finally, Osama bin Laden has become the latest convert to global warming. The Associated Press reports (via Minnesotans for Global Warming):


Al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden has called in a new audiotape for the world to boycott American goods and the U.S. dollar, blaming the United States and other industrialized countries for global warming.

In the tape, aired in part on Al-Jazeera television Friday, bin Laden warns of the dangers of climate change and says that the way to stop it is to bring “the wheels of the American economy” to a halt.

He says the world should “stop consuming American products” and “refrain from using the dollar,” according to a transcript on Al-Jazeera’s Web site.

Living in a cave, bin Laden apparently has not heard about Climategate and the latest revelations on false claims made by global warming scientists.

Seeking to broaden his appeal, it is only a matter of time until bin Laden advocates for terrorists to go green and use non-carbon emitting bombs.

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The claims made by climate scientists and the United Nations IPCC report have come under increasing scrutiny ever since the Climategate scandal revealed in November of last year the unprofessional conduct of climate scientists who manipulated data to fit their ideological biases.

One casualty of this more critical look at the IPCC report is the claim that the glaciers of the Himalayas would disappear by 2035. It turns out that this was based on one unsubstantiated claim made in a 1999 interview by Syed Hasnain of Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi.

Pajamas Media reports:

… the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) — after Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, chair of the IPCC, called the 2035 story “voodoo science” — eventually had to withdraw that section of the report.

Bad enough.What had been revealed was that the IPCC had put this inflammatory (and physically impossible) date into the IPCC report, even though it hadn’t been peer-reviewed and couldn’t actually be sourced to anything more than an offhand remark in a casual phone interview.

Naturally, everyone involved was shocked, utterly shocked, that such a thing could happen.

The problem is that this is not an isolated incident. The Times reports today on the unraveling of another global warming claim that has become conventional wisdom in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina: that global warming is causing an increase in the number and severity of natural disasters such as hurricanes and floods.

Politicians have used this supposed link to advocate compensating developing countries for the destruction from natural disasters. The Times quotes Gordon Brown, the British prime minister telling the British parliament “that the financial agreement at Copenhagen ‘must address the great injustice that . . . those hit first and hardest by climate change are those that have done least harm.'”

The new controversy also goes back to the IPCC’s 2007 report in which a separate section warned that the world had “suffered rapidly rising costs due to extreme weather-related events since the 1970s”.

It suggested a part of this increase was due to global warming and cited the unpublished report, saying: “One study has found that while the dominant signal remains that of the significant increases in the values of exposure at risk, once losses are normalised for exposure, there still remains an underlying rising trend.”

The Sunday Times has since found that the scientific paper on which the IPCC based its claim had not been peer reviewed, nor published, at the time the climate body issued its report.

When the paper was eventually published, in 2008, it had a new caveat. It said: “We find insufficient evidence to claim a statistical relationship between global temperature increase and catastrophe losses.”

Despite this change the IPCC did not issue a clarification ahead of the Copenhagen climate summit last month. It has also emerged that at least two scientific reviewers who checked drafts of the IPCC report urged greater caution in proposing a link between climate change and disaster impacts — but were ignored.

These are just two revelations that have become public over the past week.

Watts Up With That? cites a report from The American Thinker that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) have been “manipulating worldwide temperature data in order to fraudulently advance the global warming political agenda.”

NOAA has deleted 4,500 of the 6,000 thermometers in service around the globe and extrapolated temperatures for the areas where they no longer measure temperature. One example of this distortion is Bolivia, a mountainous country, where climate models show an increase in temperature after the Bolivian measurements where dropped and Bolivian temperatures where “extrapolated” from neighboring stations “on a beach in Peru or somewhere in the Amazon jungle.”

Other adjustments of the raw data for single locations have resulted in drastically different temperature trends. Here is an example from one weather station in Australia:

The raw data shows a drop in temperatures over a century, but the adjusted data shows a significant increase.

Recent record cold temperatures have coincided with new predictions of a 30 year mini ice age.

Meanwhile Michael Mann, the creator of the famous “hockey stick” graph that eliminated the Medieval Warm Period and shows record temperature increases in the 1990s, is under investigation by Penn State. State government officials are ready to investigate further when Penn State completes its investigation at the end of January:

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After seeing ice on my car in South Florida on three mornings in the past week, I almost started to hope that there is something to Al Gore’s global warming religion. Florida has not experienced temperatures like this in more than 30 years. The current cold spell has caused major damage to Florida’s citrus and vegetable industries. Iguanas, who are not native to Florida, are falling from trees. Floridians are discovering that the heating function of their air conditioning systems are barely able to keep up.

Of course one cold winter does not mean we are entering a new ice age just like record temperatures in summer do not mean that global warming is real.

It is ironic though that starting in December as global warmists and world leaders gathered in Copenhagen for the failed (in their view) climate change summit, the news has been full of stories of record cold, ice and snow throughout the northern hemisphere. Passengers on trains going beneath the Channel between Britain and France have been stuck several times due to equipment failure attributed to the cold weather.

Since there seems to be unusually cold weather wherever Al Gore travels, could he please relocate to some hot place without air conditioning where people would welcome a little cooling?

Seriously though, in the midst of all this freezing weather, a scientist who was part of the UN IPCC climate change panel writes that we may be headed for 30 years of cooler temperatures.

According to IPCC scientist Mojib Latif in an article for the Daily Mail, it could be just the beginning of a decades-long deep freeze. Latif is known as one of the world’s leading climate modelers.

Latif, is a professor at the Leibniz Institute at Germany’s Kiel University and an author of the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report. Latif is a prominent scientist in the UN’s IPCC climate research group.

Latif thinks the cold snap Americans, Brits, and Europeans have been suffering through is the beginning of another cycle, this one a down cycle. He says we’re in for 30 years of cooler temperatures. While maybe it is a harsh prediction, he calls it a “mini ice age”. That phrase is sure to stick in the craw of more than a few people. His theory is based on an analysis of natural oscillations in water temperatures in the oceans.

He believes our current cold weather pattern is a pause, a “30-years-long blip”, in the larger cycle of global warming, which postulates that temperatures will rise rapidly over the coming years.

At a U.N. conference in September, Latif said that changes in the North Atlantic Oscillation could mask over any “manmade global warming” for the next few decades. He said the fluctuations in the NAO could also be responsible for much of the rise in global temperatures seen over the past 30 years.

In a stunning revelation, he told the Daily Mail that:

“a significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th Century was due to these cycles – perhaps as much as 50 percent.”

Quite a revelation, and a smack down of much of the climate science in the last 30 years that attributes the cause mostly to CO2 increases.

In other news, Arctic sea ice is on the rise too.

According to the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007.I’m betting that summer 2010 will have even more ice retained.

It looks like Al Gore and the Obama administration will have to face some inconvenient truths.

Read more global warming myths, Climategate and politicians around the world drumming up fear to impose unprecedented controls on freedom everywhere.

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While none of us can predict the future and unexpected events are bound to develop, the following stories will be significant in their impact on American freedom, strength and security during 2010. Please continue reading this blog during 2010 if any of these topics are of interest to you.

1. Iran: Nuclear Weapons, Resistance to the Regime and Revolution?

mousavi--124507979745817300Iran will be a pivotal place in the struggle between Jihadism and free societies. During 2010, Iran will likely become a nuclear power led by a president with the declared goal of destroying Israel. The Obama administration is unlikely to use force to stop this dangerous development. Israel may act, but it is not clear whether it will be able to neutralize the threat of a nuclear Iran by itself.

Since the fraudulent presidential election last June, the internal, democratic Iranian resistance has grown despite the regime’s brutal attempt to silence protests through intimidation, jailing of dissidents and outright murder. The opposition leader, Mir Hossein Mosavi, a member of the regime during the 1980s has become a more vocal opponent of the regime after the election and could become Iran’s equivalent to Russia’s Boris Yeltsin who started as a communist and ended up leading the breakup of the Soviet Union and its replacement with 15 nations including a Russia that attempted to achieve democracy.

ayatollah-hossein-ali-montazeriThe resistance movement has stepped up protests in the last weeks of December after the death Grand Ayatollah Montazeri, once the designated successor to Khomeini, the founder of the Iranian Islamic Republic and, more recently, the leading religious leader opposing the regime. Earlier this week, the Iranian dictators killed a nephew of Mousavi, further escalating tension.

Revolutions are hard to predict, but there is at least the possibility that the Iranian resistance could overthrow the 30-year-old repressive regime before fanatics who believe in provoking an apocalypse to hasten the arrival of the “hidden Iman” gain nuclear weapons.

2. Economic Recovery: Long-Term Prospects, Fear of Inflation and the Impact of Unsustainable Government Debt

obamar228531_909709The US economy appears to be headed toward a recovery despite unprecedented, heavy-handed control exerted by the Obama administration over more and more areas of economic activity.

Can the recovery be sustained despite new and continued threats of more government control and record taxation and spending? Will inflation become a serious issue given the lose money policies of the Federal Reserve under Time’s Person of the Year Ben Bernanke?

Will the private economy again be able to generate jobs for the tens of millions of Americans that lost their jobs during the recession?

The short-term news may be positive, but dark clouds hang over this recovery.

3. Security and Terrorism: Will Washington Get Serious Again Before It Is Too Late?

war-on-terror-posterThe Jihadist terrorist attacks at Ft. Hood and on a plane landing in Detroit on Christmas Day have shown how utterly clueless Obama and his advisors are. They treat these acts as isolated criminal incidents despite clear evidence that they are part of a continued international Jihadist movement.

Will they see the light and let us move on from recognizing the obvious to seriously thinking about how a free society can survive given that technology today can give a handful of fanatics unprecedented power to cause mass murder and wholesale destruction?

In addition to “traditional” attacks using guns and explosives, chemical, biological and nuclear threats remain real and become more likely each year. Even more frightening scenarios that could be perpetrated by rogue regimes with a few nuclear weapons include an electromagnetic pulse attack on the US.

4. Continued Growth in Opposition to Obamaism and the November 2010 Election

dc-tea-party-sept-12-2009_mega_01The Tea Party movement started early in 2009 in opposition to unprecedented spending in Washington and all the initiatives to control more of the American economy. The likely passage of Obamacare practically guarantees, that Democrats will sustain heavy losses in the November 2010 Congressional elections.

Will Republican leaders become more effective in explaining these issues and presenting the alternatives or will the Tea Party movement end up supporting third party candidates that will inevitably divide the opposition to Obama?

5. The Final Shape of Obamacare and Its Impact on Cost of and Access to Health Care

obamacareWhile it is hard to see how passage of some form of Obamacare can be avoided, Democrats are sharply divided on issues like the public option and taxpayer funding of abortions. The left wing of the party opposes current legislation that has provisions required to keep the support of more “moderate” Democrats. Will this coalition between Democratic factions hold and how bad will the final legislation be?

6. The Global War on Terror: Iraq, Afghanistan and New Fronts

us_military_collage_zus6The US involvement in Iraq is winding down. Will the Iraqi government be able to avoid a return to the violence of a couple of years ago?

In Afghanistan, Obama is supporting a moderate surge in US forces. Will this be enough to drive back the Taliban and al-Qaeda or will they just hunker down until the withdrawal of US forces starting in 2011 that Obama has already announced?

Finally, the Christmas Day underwear bomber has started drawing attention to the fact that there are other centers of Jihadist terrorism like Yemen. Will there be an attack originating in Yemen or another center of Islamic fanatics that will force the administration to act?

7. Global Warming Alarmism After Climategate and Copenhagen

Al GoreThe changes for drastic imposition of new regulations controlling carbon-based energy has fizzled after the Climategate scandal and the failed Copenhagen summit.

France’s supreme court struck down a new law on carbon emission just this week.

The chances of major cap and tax legislation passing the Senate are practically nil.

Despite these positive developments, the left has invested heavily in the global warming hysteria as a new way to impose national and international controls on human freedom. Stories about impending doom due to supposedly man-made global warming won’t go away in 2010. Expect more fear-based emotional appeals and other attempts to revive the global warming movement.

Just based on what we know about these stories, 2010 is bound to be an interesting year.

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As snow falls on Copenhagen for the first white Christmas in 14 years the Goracle tries to become a poet.

“Vapors rise as fever settles on an acid sea.” … “Unknown creatures take their leave unmourned.”

If you appreciate poetry this is painful to watch. But the Nobel prize committee may have its winner of the 2010 Nobel Prize for Literature in Al Gore.

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